近年来一直红火赚钱的中国钢铁行业，开始在今年三季度遭遇盈利危机。
    继宝钢股份公布三季度净利润环比下降近五成后，中国钢铁工业协会(下称“中钢协”)昨天发布的最新数据也表明，三季度整个中国钢铁行业比2008年上半年的盈利水平下降了近四成，部分企业已经亏损。而四季度受金融危机的影响，钢铁行业的亏损面还将扩大。
    成本升、产量减、盈利降
    进入三季度以来，钢铁行业的经营态势发生了重大变化。中钢协昨天举行的2008年第四次行业信息发布会指出，7、8、9月我国钢铁生产环比连续下滑，而且进入三季度以来，国内市场钢材价格连续全面下跌，9月末的钢材综合价格指数比6月末下跌10.86%。
    与 此同时，钢铁企业的生产成本在大幅上升，1～9月综合平均企业每吨冶金焦采购成本上涨95.35%，炼焦煤上涨87.1%，喷吹煤上涨57.59%，国产 入炉矿上涨80.87%，进口铁矿石上涨51.45%(1～9月进口矿到岸价上涨77.27%)，外购生铁上涨64.23%，外购废钢上涨56.13%。
    在上述情况下，三季度钢铁行业实现利润303.77亿元，比上半年盈利下降38.16%。9月份全行业实现利润下降到32.21亿元，比上半年月平均水平更是下降达80.33%。
    “9 月份大中型钢铁企业有23户亏损，亏损面达32.4%，1～9月亏损额11.54亿元，是上年同期的18.06倍。”中钢协常务副会长罗冰生昨天透露，而 这一亏损态势进入10月份后仍在加剧，因为钢材价格的跌势更加凶猛，目前钢材价格比6月末已经下跌了30%～40%。
    中钢协秘书长单尚华在近期召开的铁矿石会议期间更是对记者预计，10月份开始全行业出现亏损是肯定的，目前河北唐山地区已有40%～50%的小钢厂倒闭。
    在昨天宝钢股份2008年第三季度业绩网上说明会上，宝钢股份董秘陈缨也指出，由于全球经济放缓，钢铁业的中期调整已经开始，宝钢第四季度主要的碳钢产品和不锈钢产品都可能亏损，明年盈利能力也不确定，明年要保持今年的业绩水平难度很大。
    受困金融危机
    在罗冰生看来，全球金融危机已经影响到了中国钢铁企业，最直接的影响是钢铁产品出口订单大幅减少，企业普遍反映今年四季度出口订单下降50%左右。事实上前9月我国出口钢材就同比减少了2.14%，出口钢坯同比更是下降81.07%。
    而间接影响是实体经济发展放缓，抑制了国内市场对钢铁产品的需求。宝钢集团董事长徐乐江就对本报记者透露，目前汽车和家电用钢的订单已经开始萎缩，工程机械、石油产品、造船还可以，但不知道能持续多久。
    如 何应对这一局面？罗冰生建议，钢铁企业要尽快通过增收节支和降低原燃料的采购费用，实现钢铁生产的完全成本略低于国内市场的钢材售价。另外，要在市场需求 减弱和出口下降的情况下，实行控制总量和优化结构相结合，适度减产、限产，坚持没有合同不生产，加快淘汰落后产能的步伐，努力实现国内市场供需基本平衡。
    事实上，中国的大小钢厂已经开始通过减产来降低损失。本月早些时候，山东钢铁集团、河北钢铁集团、首钢集团和安阳钢铁宣布从10月份开始减产20%，这四家钢厂的总产量约占全国钢铁产量的16%。
    而对于未来的长期走势，罗冰生指出，中钢协认为我国经济发展的基本面是好的，国际金融危机对我国的影响有限、可控，而我国仍处在工业化、城市化和产业结构升级过程中，国内市场稳定增长的需求不会根本改变，“我们应当对国内钢材市场的稳定坚定信心。”

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